Latest Insights

Apr 07, 2026

Nominal interest rates often dominate financial headlines. Investors frequently hear about central bank policy rates or the yield on government bonds such as the 10-year US Treasury. However, in financial markets it is often the real interest rate that matters more.

Apr 06, 2026

Global markets saw volatile trading as energy price swings and geopolitical tensions pushed yields higher and tightened financial conditions, while a mid-week improvement in sentiment supported a selective rebound in equities.

Apr 03, 2026

In Q1 markets shifted noticeably as investors grappled with rising energy prices, sector rotation, and growing uncertainty around the pace of global monetary easing. The optimism that characterised the final months of 2025 faded as commodity markets surged and equity leadership changed direction. Energy stocks became the dominant outperformer across global markets, while technology and consumer sectors lost momentum. At the same time, bond markets experienced renewed volatility as investors reassessed inflation risks and the timing of interest rate cuts.

Apr 02, 2026

The S&P 500 remains in an uptrend over the longer term, but recent price behaviour shows signs that momentum has been cooling. The chart illustrates this clearly: the index has struggled to make meaningful new highs since late January, and the decline through March shows a shift toward slower, more uneven price action.

Mar 31, 2026

Nominal interest rates often dominate financial headlines. Investors frequently hear about the level of central bank policy rates or the yield on government bonds such as the 10-year US Treasury. However, in financial markets it is often the real interest rate that matters more.

Mar 30, 2026

Markets entered the week navigating a shift in focus away from the immediate energy shock narrative toward the broader implications of persistently tight financial conditions. While geopolitical tensions continued to support elevated oil prices, investor attention increasingly turned to the interaction between inflation expectations, sovereign yields and the pace at which central banks could eventually move toward policy easing.

Mar 25, 2026

Gold has begun to stabilise after several weeks of persistent downside pressure. The decline surprised many traders because throughout late 2025 and the start of this year, gold often appeared stretched on the chart, moving quickly and pausing only briefly. We previously noted that when gold accelerates without meaningful pullbacks, the market can feel overheated, with momentum indicators signalling conditions that are difficult to sustain for long.

Mar 24, 2026

Government debt has become one of the most closely watched macro indicators in global markets. After the Global Financial Crisis, the pandemic and a period of elevated fiscal spending, many economies are now carrying significantly larger public debt loads than they did a decade ago.