Latest Insights

Jan 07, 2026

After the inflation shock of 2022 and 2023, price pressures have finally started to cool. Inflation has not disappeared, but it has slowed, and that phase is known as disinflation. Prices are still rising, just not at the pace that unsettled households, policymakers, and markets a couple of years ago.

Jan 05, 2026

Global policymakers enter 2026 with policy divergence and a broadly stable backdrop. In the US, Fed officials have signalled a pause in rate hikes after a 3.50-3.75% policy rate (no hikes likely ahead and only one cut pencilled in 2026). Economic data have shown cooling inflation and modest growth, and markets now see Fed cuts (perhaps two) outpacing other central banks.

Dec 30, 2025

Picture this scenario: a central bank raises interest rates, yet the currency weakens instead of strengthening. It sounds counterintuitive, but seasoned traders know it’s not the rate hike itself that matters – it’s what the market expected to happen next. FX markets are forward-looking by nature, meaning they focus on where rates are headed rather than where they stand today.

Dec 29, 2025

Markets traded through a holiday-shortened and liquidity-constrained week, with price action driven more by positioning, macro expectations and year-end flows than by fresh data surprises. Several major exchanges were closed for Christmas, while others operated on shortened hours, amplifying moves in otherwise thin conditions.

Dec 22, 2025

Markets closed out the penultimate full trading week of 2025 grappling with a defining theme: policy divergence. Despite several potential volatility catalysts, investors largely held existing positioning, with mixed US macro data failing to force a meaningful repricing into year-end.

Dec 15, 2025

Markets entered the week focused squarely on the Federal Reserve, and the outcome delivered little surprise but meaningful consequences. On Wednesday, the FOMC implemented a widely expected 25bp rate cut, lowering the federal funds target range from 3.75%-4.00% to 3.50%-3.75%, formally ending the 4% policy-rate era.

Dec 10, 2025

There are times when a chart looks so extended that every instinct says, “This has to pull back soon.” Gold gave that exact feeling through much of October. It moved fast and it barely paused. Every dip was small and short-lived. And if you were looking at any typical momentum indicator (like the RSI), you’d have seen the same message repeating: overbought.

Dec 09, 2025

Investors have spent the past two years in a will-it-or-won’t-it debate, wondering if economic growth could really hold up while inflation cooled off. Central banks have been trying to control inflation without triggering a recession, and as price pressures ease, markets keep asking: is this time different?